Montana vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
70.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
LOK
1 - 1
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
FKM
47%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
SVA
22%
25%
53%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
VIK
1 - 0
MON
50%
24%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
MON
3 - 0
MIN
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
CSK
2 - 1
BEL
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
ROD
1 - 2
CSK
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
CSK
2 - 0
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 3
CSK
13%
21%
66%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
VIH
0 - 2
CSK
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |