Pevidém vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.7%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.1%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.9%
80.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
18.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.2%
0-3
13.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pevidém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PEV
0 - 0
BRI
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VIA
1 - 2
PEV
26%
28%
46%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PEV
2 - 1
MAR
5%
13%
82%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PEV
1 - 0
VIL
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
JOA
2 - 1
PEV
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
SLB
4 - 0
ATM
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SLB
5 - 1
GFC
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 3
SLB
19%
22%
59%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CRV
1 - 2
SLB
32%
24%
44%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SLB
4 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |