Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 5-1
Petrolul Ploiesti vs Flamurtari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolul Ploiesti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2014 |
PET
1 - 0
PAR
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
COR
0 - 3
PET
20%
26%
54%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
PET
0 - 0
STB
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 0
PET
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
PET
3 - 0
VAS
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Flamurtari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 2
SIO
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
SIO
2 - 3
FLA
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 0
KUK
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
KRU
1 - 3
FLA
21%
25%
54%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 2
TIR
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |