Petrolina vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
67.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SAL
1 - 0
PET
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PET
0 - 1
SPO
12%
20%
69%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
PET
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
6 - 0
PET
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
PET
2 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 0
POR
82%
13%
6%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 0
ARA
87%
10%
4%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 2
NAU
13%
19%
68%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 1
BEL
87%
10%
4%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
NAU
10%
17%
73%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | -1 |