Petone vs Waterside Karori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
39.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
9º
6º
13
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 45 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 39 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 32 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 31 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 28 |
5º
|
86% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 18 |
6º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
13 | 16 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 15 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 14 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 13 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PET
2 - 1
WKA
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
6 - 0
PET
95%
4%
1%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PET
1 - 0
NAP
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NWA
2 - 2
PET
26%
21%
53%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 1
PET
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PET
2 - 1
WKA
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WKA
1 - 1
MIR
22%
20%
58%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
IBU
0 - 1
WKA
14%
16%
71%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
STO
3 - 2
WKA
17%
18%
66%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 4
WSU
31%
22%
48%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |