Peterhead vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
RAI
2 - 5
PET
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
PET
2 - 0
BRE
37%
25%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
PET
4 - 1
AYR
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
QUE
2 - 0
PET
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
BER
2 - 2
PET
27%
26%
48%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
THE
3 - 1
MON
35%
27%
39%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
MON
3 - 2
ELG
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
DUM
0 - 0
MON
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
MON
2 - 2
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
MON
2 - 1
STE
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |