Peterhead vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
67.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
DUM
3 - 2
PET
32%
27%
42%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
PET
1 - 2
FOR
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 3
PET
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
PET
3 - 0
CLY
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
PET
1 - 0
FAL
21%
26%
53%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
RAI
0 - 4
HOM
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
HOM
3 - 0
ICT
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 0
HOM
25%
27%
48%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
HOM
6 - 0
ALL
76%
16%
9%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 0
HOM
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |