Peterhead vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
PET
4 - 0
ABD
80%
14%
7%
|
58 | 16 | 42 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FRA
1 - 0
PET
58%
21%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
CLY
6 - 1
PET
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
PET
1 - 0
EAS
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ELG
4 - 0
PET
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
EAS
2 - 2
GRE
32%
24%
45%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
QOS
2 - 0
GRE
29%
25%
47%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
BLA
1 - 3
GRE
20%
22%
58%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
GRE
2 - 0
DUN
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
RAI
1 - 1
GRE
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |