Peterhead vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PET
2 - 1
KHE
18%
23%
59%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PET
0 - 2
MON
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
5 - 0
PET
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PET
1 - 4
QOS
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FAL
3 - 1
PET
57%
23%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
STE
3 - 3
ELG
50%
24%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ELG
2 - 0
BRA
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 1
ELG
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
ELG
3 - 1
STE
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ELG
2 - 2
STR
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |