Peterhead vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
70.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
10º
79
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PET
1 - 0
EDI
12%
21%
68%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
QOS
2 - 1
PET
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PET
0 - 2
ALL
9%
18%
72%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AIR
7 - 0
PET
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FAL
5 - 0
PET
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
FAL
2 - 2
DUN
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 0
KHE
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 3
DUN
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 0
EDI
68%
21%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 0
FAL
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |