Peterhead vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
53.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
6º
2º
57
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
PET
0 - 1
SPA
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ELG
2 - 1
PET
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
PET
1 - 2
FOR
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PET
2 - 1
CLY
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
PET
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 2
EAS
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
DUM
4 - 4
CLY
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 4
DUM
32%
25%
44%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
DUM
0 - 1
STE
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
4 - 5
DUM
38%
23%
39%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |