Peterhead vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 0
PET
56%
22%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PET
0 - 4
AYR
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BRE
5 - 1
PET
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GLA
4 - 0
PET
72%
16%
12%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
PET
22%
24%
55%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
AYR
0 - 3
AIR
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PET
0 - 4
AYR
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
STE
0 - 4
AYR
34%
25%
42%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AYR
0 - 1
ALB
62%
21%
16%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CWB
1 - 0
AYR
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |