Peterhead vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
STR
2 - 0
PET
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 1
PET
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
PET
2 - 0
STE
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
PET
2 - 1
STI
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 3
PET
47%
24%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
STI
1 - 4
AYR
60%
21%
20%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
AYR
0 - 2
DUN
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
STE
1 - 1
AYR
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
AYR
1 - 1
GRE
24%
22%
54%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 1
AYR
77%
14%
8%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |