Peterhead vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
PET
1 - 2
CWB
54%
22%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
AIR
2 - 1
PET
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
PET
0 - 2
AIR
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
PET
2 - 3
AYR
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ARB
2 - 2
PET
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 1
ARB
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
RAI
0 - 0
ARB
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ARB
2 - 2
PET
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ARB
2 - 0
STR
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
QUE
0 - 1
ARB
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |