Peterborough United vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
STF
2 - 2
POS
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
POS
0 - 0
PLY
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
PLY
0 - 1
POS
61%
21%
19%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
MIL
0 - 2
POS
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 1996 |
POS
3 - 2
BUR
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
WRE
1 - 1
GIL
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
WHU
0 - 1
WRE
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
LUT
0 - 0
WRE
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1997 |
WRE
3 - 3
NOT
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
WRE
1 - 1
WHU
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |