Carabao Cup 1/64
Global 1-3
Peterborough United vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1998 |
POS
0 - 2
WAL
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
POS
3 - 2
DAG
74%
15%
11%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1997 |
SWA
1 - 4
POS
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1997 |
POS
0 - 2
REA
55%
23%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
REA
0 - 0
POS
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
WRE
3 - 0
REA
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
REA
0 - 1
NOR
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
NTT
1 - 0
REA
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
WOL
3 - 1
REA
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1998 |
REA
0 - 1
MID
17%
27%
56%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |