League One Playoff . Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Peterborough United vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
OXF
1 - 0
POS
32%
23%
45%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
POS
3 - 3
BOL
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 0
POS
10%
19%
71%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BRO
0 - 2
POS
17%
22%
61%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
POS
4 - 1
FLE
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
OXF
1 - 0
POS
32%
23%
45%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
EXE
1 - 2
OXF
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
OXF
1 - 1
STE
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
OXF
0 - 1
LIN
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OXF
5 - 0
POS
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |