FA Cup 1/64
Global 2-1
Peterborough United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
POS
1 - 0
WRE
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2000 |
POS
4 - 0
MAN
69%
17%
14%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
ROT
3 - 0
POS
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
MAN
1 - 1
POS
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
POS
4 - 0
SWI
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
OLD
3 - 2
OXF
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
OLD
0 - 1
MIL
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
HED
2 - 4
OLD
36%
25%
40%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
STO
0 - 1
OLD
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
OLD
1 - 1
SWA
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |