League One play-offs Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Peterborough United vs Milton Keynes Dons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
MKD
3 - 2
POS
39%
24%
37%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
POS
5 - 0
DAG
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ROC
2 - 2
POS
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
POS
2 - 2
YEO
79%
14%
8%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
LEY
2 - 1
POS
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
MKD
3 - 2
POS
39%
24%
37%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
OLD
1 - 2
MKD
29%
26%
44%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MKD
2 - 1
NOT
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
PLY
1 - 0
MKD
27%
26%
48%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
MKD
1 - 3
HUR
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |