Peterborough United vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
POS
19%
24%
58%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
POS
2 - 1
CRA
76%
15%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
POS
2 - 1
STF
80%
15%
6%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
POS
25%
24%
51%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
POS
0 - 3
LEE
28%
24%
48%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 1
MAN
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
MKD
3 - 1
AFC
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
WRE
2 - 0
AFC
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 0
OXF
32%
23%
45%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 3
IPS
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |