Peterborough United vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
GIL
1 - 3
POS
25%
25%
49%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
POS
2 - 1
IPS
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
POS
2 - 0
CRE
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 1
POS
25%
22%
53%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
STF
2 - 0
POS
23%
25%
51%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
WIG
2 - 3
AFC
60%
23%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
OXF
3 - 1
AFC
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 2
MKD
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
DON
2 - 0
AFC
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 1
AFC
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |