Petén vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
DEP
4 - 2
PET
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
COB
4 - 1
PET
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
PET
1 - 2
ACH
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 2
PET
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PET
0 - 0
TEC
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
COB
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ACH
1 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 2
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
TEC
0 - 1
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
CON
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |