Pesch vs Siegburger SV 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
40.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
10º
16º
15º
32
1º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
H05
2 - 0
PES
72%
16%
11%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PES
6 - 0
BWF
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BSC
5 - 0
PES
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PES
0 - 3
BGP
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
PES
1 - 3
SPV
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BWF
1 - 0
SIE
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SIE
2 - 2
BGP
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 0
SIE
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SIE
4 - 0
BER
17%
20%
63%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +4 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
SIE
1 - 2
SFB
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |