Pesch vs SC Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PES
2 - 2
SHN
56%
21%
23%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
PES
3 - 2
TOP
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SVL
1 - 0
PES
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PES
2 - 1
GKS
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FVE
1 - 3
PES
31%
23%
47%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SC Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SCF
1 - 3
TMA
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
HRH
2 - 1
SCF
8%
15%
77%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SCF
5 - 1
SPF
35%
23%
42%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MER
2 - 2
SCF
64%
18%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SHN
1 - 2
SCF
60%
20%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |