Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Last 16
Global 5-3
Pescara vs Virtus Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 2
PES
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PIC
0 - 3
PES
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PES
2 - 1
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
TAR
3 - 0
PES
20%
26%
54%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PES
4 - 1
FRA
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 2
PES
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 1
VIR
47%
29%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
VIR
3 - 0
NOV
52%
27%
22%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VIR
4 - 1
JS2
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
REN
1 - 1
VIR
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |