Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Pescara vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2023 |
PES
3 - 1
VIR
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 2
PES
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PIC
0 - 3
PES
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PES
2 - 1
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
TAR
3 - 0
PES
20%
26%
54%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2023 |
ACD
3 - 1
ASG
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
ASG
2 - 0
ACD
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 2
ACD
14%
25%
61%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ACD
1 - 1
REC
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
ASL
0 - 0
ACD
17%
26%
58%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |