Serie C Playoffs Ascenso Final
First-leg 1-0
Pescara vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
TER
0 - 1
PES
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
PES
1 - 1
AUD
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 4
PES
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
PES
2 - 0
VIS
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
VIS
2 - 4
PES
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
TER
0 - 1
PES
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
TER
3 - 1
VIC
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
VIC
0 - 0
TER
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
TER
2 - 0
GER
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
GER
1 - 0
TER
22%
26%
52%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |