Serie B relegation play-off Final
Global 3-3
Pescara vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 0
PES
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
PES
1 - 0
LIV
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
TRA
1 - 0
PES
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
PES
1 - 1
FRO
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
VNZ
1 - 1
PES
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
VNZ
3 - 1
PRG
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
PRG
1 - 2
TRA
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
ACD
0 - 2
PRG
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
PRG
0 - 0
USC
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
NUO
2 - 1
PRG
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |