Pescara vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 3
PES
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
PES
0 - 2
LIV
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
PES
2 - 0
TOR
51%
27%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 4
PES
36%
25%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
PES
6 - 0
VIC
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
NOC
3 - 0
PAD
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
NOC
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
NOC
1 - 0
ABN
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
NOC
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 1
NOC
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |