Pescara vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
EMP
0 - 2
PES
46%
25%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
PES
3 - 1
VER
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
NOC
2 - 4
PES
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2011 |
PES
1 - 0
SAM
29%
29%
42%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
TOR
4 - 2
PES
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MOD
3 - 3
REG
33%
28%
40%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
VER
2 - 1
MOD
58%
24%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
MOD
2 - 1
TOR
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
GRO
1 - 1
MOD
60%
22%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |