Perugia vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
PRG
22%
28%
51%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 1
PRG
31%
30%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
PRG
4 - 1
LIV
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
PRG
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
PRG
1 - 4
NOV
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
VIC
2 - 1
MOD
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 1
LAT
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ACD
4 - 1
VIC
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 2
BRE
40%
28%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 0
VIC
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |