Perugia vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 1
PRG
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PRG
0 - 0
BAR
40%
29%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 2
PRG
47%
27%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
MOD
3 - 0
PRG
31%
30%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PRG
2 - 0
AVE
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
TRA
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
LEO
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
AVE
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
TER
2 - 2
LEO
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
SAL
44%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |