Perugia vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
20.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
PRG
2 - 0
LAT
52%
28%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 1
PRG
42%
28%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
PRG
0 - 2
TRA
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
PRG
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PRG
0 - 0
SPE
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
4 - 0
TER
53%
27%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TER
1 - 2
SPE
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 2
TER
56%
26%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
TER
4 - 0
SAL
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 0
TER
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |