Perugia vs Ternana Calcio analysis

Perugia Ternana Calcio
71 ELO 65
-11.5% Tilt -13.6%
1408º General ELO ranking 595º
55º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
53.3%
Perugia
26.6%
Draw
20.1%
Ternana Calcio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
Perugia
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
20.1%
Win probability
Ternana Calcio
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Perugia
-8%
-2%
Ternana Calcio

ELO progression

Perugia
Ternana Calcio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Perugia
Perugia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2016
PRG
Perugia
2 - 0
Latina
LAT
52%
28%
21%
70 67 3 0
27 Feb. 2016
ACD
Virtus Entella
2 - 1
Perugia
PRG
42%
28%
29%
70 67 3 0
22 Feb. 2016
PRG
Perugia
0 - 2
Trapani
TRA
47%
27%
27%
71 68 3 -1
13 Feb. 2016
CES
Cesena
2 - 1
Perugia
PRG
52%
26%
22%
72 73 1 -1
06 Feb. 2016
PRG
Perugia
0 - 0
Spezia
SPE
44%
28%
28%
72 72 0 0

Matches

Ternana Calcio
Ternana Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2016
BAR
SSC Bari
4 - 0
Ternana Calcio
TER
53%
27%
21%
67 69 2 0
27 Feb. 2016
TER
Ternana Calcio
1 - 2
Spezia
SPE
35%
29%
36%
67 73 6 0
20 Feb. 2016
NOV
Novara
1 - 2
Ternana Calcio
TER
56%
26%
19%
67 71 4 0
13 Feb. 2016
TER
Ternana Calcio
4 - 0
Salernitana
SAL
47%
27%
26%
66 64 2 +1
06 Feb. 2016
LIV
Livorno
1 - 0
Ternana Calcio
TER
54%
25%
21%
67 67 0 -1