Perugia vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
PRG
3 - 0
MOD
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VIS
0 - 1
PRG
10%
22%
69%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
PRG
4 - 0
LEG
79%
14%
6%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PRG
4 - 2
MAN
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
PRG
3 - 0
ARZ
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 4
FCS
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MOD
4 - 1
SSS
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
SSS
1 - 3
IMO
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
SSS
38%
24%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SSS
2 - 2
FAN
65%
22%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |