Perugia vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
PRG
0 - 0
ARZ
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
PRG
2 - 1
SSM
77%
16%
6%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
ACI
2 - 3
PRG
14%
27%
59%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PRG
2 - 1
ASL
72%
20%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
NAP
2 - 0
PRG
30%
29%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
SSS
2 - 1
PAD
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2006 |
GIU
2 - 0
SSS
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
SSS
2 - 1
GEN
20%
27%
54%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
PRO
1 - 3
SSS
49%
28%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
SSS
1 - 0
PRO
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |