Perugia vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
PRG
0 - 1
VIC
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
PRG
22%
28%
51%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 1
PRG
31%
30%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
PRG
4 - 1
LIV
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
PRG
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
PES
2 - 1
LIV
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
LAT
0 - 1
PES
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
PES
1 - 0
MOD
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 2
PES
26%
27%
48%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
PES
2 - 0
ACD
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |