Perugia vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
25.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
CES
2 - 1
PRG
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
PRG
2 - 0
TER
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
USF
1 - 0
PRG
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
REG
0 - 0
PRG
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
PRG
2 - 0
PAD
57%
25%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BRE
43%
29%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
SPA
1 - 2
LAZ
55%
27%
18%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 1
MAN
55%
27%
17%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
PAD
0 - 0
LAZ
40%
32%
28%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
LAZ
3 - 1
TER
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |