Perugia vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LIV
2 - 3
PRG
18%
24%
58%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
PRG
3 - 2
PAD
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
VER
2 - 1
PRG
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SAL
2 - 1
PRG
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
PRG
1 - 0
VNZ
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
LEC
1 - 0
CRO
23%
27%
50%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 1
SAL
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAD
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 0
CRO
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |