Perugia vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
PES
2 - 1
PRG
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PRG
2 - 0
COM
68%
21%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
ACM
2 - 0
PRG
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
PRG
3 - 1
REG
66%
21%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
PRG
1 - 0
CAR
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 1
NOV
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
CAG
4 - 0
CRO
70%
18%
11%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
TER
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
FER
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
CRO
0 - 0
ACD
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |