Perugia vs FC Celano Marsica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.6%
4%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PRG
4 - 1
FAN
82%
14%
5%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 0
PRG
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PRG
3 - 1
EBO
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FON
0 - 2
PRG
22%
25%
54%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
PRG
1 - 1
GAV
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 0
MIL
21%
24%
55%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
FON
5 - 2
FCC
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FCC
0 - 0
ACI
24%
26%
50%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ASM
4 - 0
FCC
78%
15%
7%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
3 - 5
USV
37%
27%
36%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |