Perugia vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PAL
4 - 1
PRG
59%
22%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PRG
2 - 0
ASC
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
PRG
36%
27%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
PRG
0 - 0
SPA
37%
26%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
PRG
1 - 3
NOV
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
BRE
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VER
4 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
CTT
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
USF
4 - 2
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
TER
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |