Perugia vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CTT
1 - 1
PRG
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 5
PRG
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
PRG
1 - 1
FRO
33%
29%
38%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 0
PRG
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PRG
0 - 0
ACD
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 0
ACD
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 1
SAL
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
BEN
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
BEN
3 - 4
BAR
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 1
BEN
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |