Perugia U19 vs Monopoli U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
10º
9º
21
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BEN
5 - 1
PER
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
PER
2 - 2
CCS
59%
20%
20%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 1
PER
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 2
PER
38%
22%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PER
2 - 4
PES
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Monopoli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MNP
0 - 0
CRO
46%
21%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PES
0 - 2
MNP
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MNP
1 - 6
CES
14%
17%
69%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 0
MNP
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MNP
0 - 1
TER
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |