Perugia U19 vs Frosinone U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
49.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
8º
16º
14º
63
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MNP
0 - 2
PER
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PER
3 - 1
CRO
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
NAP
3 - 1
PER
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
PIS
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BEN
3 - 0
PER
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Frosinone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FRO
1 - 1
SAL
67%
19%
15%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FRO
1 - 0
TER
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MNP
3 - 4
FRO
18%
19%
63%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FRO
3 - 0
BEN
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 2
FRO
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |