Perugia U19 vs Crotone U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
10º
9º
22
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PER
3 - 0
SAL
74%
15%
11%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CCS
0 - 2
PER
57%
22%
22%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PER
3 - 0
PAL
57%
20%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MNP
1 - 3
PER
32%
23%
46%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
BEN
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 3
PES
46%
22%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 3
CRO
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 3
PIS
29%
23%
48%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 0
CRO
68%
18%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CRO
4 - 3
MNP
53%
21%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |