Perugia U19 vs Avellino U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+106%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
8º
16º
14º
31
4º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PER
2 - 0
CCS
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 2
PER
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
VEN
3 - 2
PER
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PER
1 - 3
FRO
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MNP
0 - 2
PER
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Avellino U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 3
SPE
17%
18%
66%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
NAP
5 - 1
AVE
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PES
3 - 2
AVE
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AVE
2 - 1
ASC
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | +4 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 3
PIS
16%
19%
65%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |