Perugia U19 vs Ascoli U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
51.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
10º
9º
47
5º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
PER
1 - 1
LAZ
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VIR
3 - 1
PER
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PER
2 - 3
BEN
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 2
PER
41%
24%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PER
4 - 2
SPE
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Ascoli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ASC
3 - 3
ASS
41%
22%
37%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ASC
3 - 1
VEN
26%
22%
53%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +3 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 1
SPA
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PES
0 - 0
ASC
24%
22%
55%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ASC
3 - 2
MNP
76%
14%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |