Perth Glory II vs Floreat Athena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+120%
-71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
11º
11º
33
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ING
0 - 1
PEG
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 2
PEG
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PEG
0 - 0
PRS
24%
20%
56%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
COC
1 - 4
PEG
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
PEG
3 - 3
ING
47%
21%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Floreat Athena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PRS
0 - 2
FLO
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
STI
0 - 1
FLO
43%
24%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 2
PEG
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FLO
3 - 0
BAY
48%
21%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ARM
3 - 1
FLO
32%
21%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -3 |