Copa Indonesia Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Persib vs Borneo Samarinda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Persib
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
PUS
2 - 1
PER
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
PER
4 - 0
PER
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
PER
3 - 2
PER
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PER
1 - 2
PST
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
ARE
2 - 2
PER
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Borneo Samarinda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
PUS
2 - 1
PER
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
MAD
1 - 0
PUS
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
PUS
0 - 2
PSS
58%
21%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
PER
5 - 0
PUS
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
PSS
0 - 0
PUS
26%
22%
53%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |