PS Badung vs Semeru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.1%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
80.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.5%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Semeru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2006 |
SFC
1 - 5
PMN
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
PMN
0 - 3
SFC
16%
24%
60%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |